Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City
Résumé
A growing body of evidence suggests that people exhibit large biases when processing information about themselves, but less is known about the underlying inference process. This paper studies belief updating patterns regarding academic ability in a large sample of students transitioning from middle to highschool in Mexico City. The analysis takes advantage of rich and longitudinal data on subjective beliefs together with randomized feedback about individual perfor-mance on an achievement test. On average, the performance feedback reduces the relative role of priors on posteriors and shifts substantial probability masstoward the signal. Further evidence reveals that males and high-socioeconomic status students tend to process new information on their own ability more effectively.