Geographically targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable and averts more deaths than age-based thresholds alone - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Journal Articles Science Advances Year : 2021

Geographically targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable and averts more deaths than age-based thresholds alone

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
  • Function : Author
Mathew V. Kiang
  • Function : Author
Alicia R. Riley
  • Function : Author
Yea-Hung Chen
  • Function : Author
Kate A. Duchowny
  • Function : Author
Ellicott C. Matthay
  • Function : Author
David van Riper
  • Function : Author
Kirrthana Jegathesan
  • Function : Author
Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo
  • Function : Author
Jonathon P. Leider
  • Function : Author

Abstract

COVID-19 mortality increases markedly with age and is also substantially higher among Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) populations in the United States. These two facts can have conflicting implications because BIPOC populations are younger than white populations. In analyses of California and Minnesota—demographically divergent states—we show that COVID vaccination schedules based solely on age benefit the older white populations at the expense of younger BIPOC populations with higher risk of death from COVID-19. We find that strategies that prioritize high-risk geographic areas for vaccination at all ages better target mortality risk than age-based strategies alone, although they do not always perform as well as direct prioritization of high-risk racial/ethnic groups. Vaccination schemas directly implicate equitability of access, both domestically and globally.
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hal-03526809 , version 1 (14-01-2022)

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Attribution - NonCommercial

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Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, Mathew V. Kiang, Alicia R. Riley, Magali Barbieri, Yea-Hung Chen, et al.. Geographically targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable and averts more deaths than age-based thresholds alone. Science Advances , 2021, 7 (40), pp.1-14. ⟨10.1126/sciadv.abj2099⟩. ⟨hal-03526809⟩
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