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Preprints, Working Papers, ... Year : 2021

Mathematical modelling of zika virus in Brazil

René Escalante
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  • PersonId : 1121491
Minaya Villasana
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  • PersonId : 1121492


In this paper we study some deterministic mathematical models that seek to explain the expansion of zika virus, as a viral epidemic, using published data for Brazil. SIR type models are proposed and validated using the epidemic data found, considering several aspects in the spread of the disease. Finally, we confirmed that the crucial epidemic parameter such as R 0 is consistent with those previously reported in the literature for other areas. We also explored variations of the parameters within Brazil for different federal entities. We concluded that a parsimonious model that includes both human and vector populations best describe the epidemic parameters.
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hal-03505850 , version 1 (31-12-2021)


  • HAL Id : hal-03505850 , version 1


Saúl E Buitrago Boret, René Escalante, Minaya Villasana. Mathematical modelling of zika virus in Brazil. 2021. ⟨hal-03505850⟩
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