Estimation and integration of net demand uncertainty in a microgrid management
Résumé
The subject addressed in the proposed paper is the estimation of uncertainty of deterministic forecasts of net demand, and a proposal to incorporate this information in the energy management system of small scale microgrids. This with the aim to decrease CO2 emissions. The information regarding the uncertainty of the forecasts is used for the scheduling of resources during the optimization stage of the energy management system. Results are compared with a base case deterministic and perfect forecast scenario to evaluate the usefulness of the method.
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