When adaptation increases energy demand: A systematic map of the literature
Résumé
Adaptation is a central component of climate policy, helping manage and reduce risks. Sometimes,
however, adaptation to climate change may consume energy, threatening efforts to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. Examples are numerous, and include the use of air conditioning or
water desalination. Nevertheless, no clear view exists on how energy demand globally can be
impacted by climate change. In this paper we systematically map existing evidence on how and to
what extent adaptation responses to climate change may impact energy demand. The literature is
large, fast-growing and spans several disciplines, but we identify several research gaps. First, the
literature focuses almost exclusively on heating and cooling demand, while overlooking other
potential sectors. It also focuses heavily on a few world regions, while local specific climate and
socio-economic conditions may highly influence the impacts, and focuses largely on average
demand, while often disregarding peak energy demand. Finally, and most importantly, only a
handful of papers—most of them with a specific geographical scope—consider that different
adaptation possibilities may lead to different impacts on energy demand, which is an important
prerequisite if the impact of adaptation on energy demand is to be lowered and maladaptation to
be avoided. The reviewed papers study for the most part similar options, and most adaptation
possibilities are conversely studied by just one or two papers.
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