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Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2024

Demographic Transitions, Rural Flight, and Intergenerational Persistence: Evidence From Crowdsourced Genealogies

Résumé

This paper draws on a novel dataset crowdsourced from publicly available online genealogies to study demographic change and development in Europe before modern censuses became available. Using millions of publicly available family trees, I reconstruct fertility from horizontal lineages and identify migration to and from urban centers. Then, I systematically compare the data to a range of representative sources in thirty countries and show that selection is limited after the mid-seventeenth century. Finally, I document novel stylized facts on the rural flight, the demographic transition, and the intergenerational persistence of migration, fertility, and longevity; providing suggestive evidence that substantial changes took hold in the eighteenth century, in the early stages of the transition from stagnation to growth.
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Dates et versions

hal-02922398 , version 1 (26-08-2020)
hal-02922398 , version 2 (01-09-2020)
hal-02922398 , version 3 (12-05-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02922398 , version 3

Citer

Guillaume Blanc. Demographic Transitions, Rural Flight, and Intergenerational Persistence: Evidence From Crowdsourced Genealogies. 2024. ⟨hal-02922398v3⟩
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