On the profitability of selfish blockchain mining under consideration of ruin - Archive ouverte HAL
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2020

On the profitability of selfish blockchain mining under consideration of ruin

Hansjörg Albrecher
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Résumé

Mining blocks on a blockchain equipped with a proof of work consensus protocol is well-known to be resource-consuming. A miner bears the operational cost, mainly electricity consumption and IT gear, of mining, and is compensated by a capital gain when a block is discovered. This paper aims at quantifying the profitability of mining when the possible event of ruin is also considered. This is done by formulating a tractable stochastic model and using tools from applied probability and analysis, including the explicit solution of a certain type of advanced functional differential equation. The expected profit at a future time point is determined for the situation when the miner follows the protocol as well as when he/she withholds blocks. The obtained explicit expressions allow to analyze the sensitivity with respect to the different model ingredients and to identify conditions under which selfish mining is a strategic advantage.
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Dates et versions

hal-02649025 , version 1 (29-05-2020)
hal-02649025 , version 2 (22-01-2021)
hal-02649025 , version 3 (26-04-2021)

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  • HAL Id : hal-02649025 , version 1

Citer

Hansjörg Albrecher, Pierre-Olivier Goffard. On the profitability of selfish blockchain mining under consideration of ruin. 2020. ⟨hal-02649025v1⟩
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