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Journal Articles Applied Economics Year : 2018

Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system

Abstract

The recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a European unemployment insurance system. We simulate an EU-wide mechanism under various scenarios, varying methods of financing (common or country-specific contribution rates) and triggers for pay-outs (all time or contingent clauses). We analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers. A system operating during bad times (periods where the increase in unemployment is large) would reduce GDP growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries. Hence, there is a trade-off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles.
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hal-02506028 , version 1 (12-03-2020)

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Etienne Farvaque, Florence Huart. Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system. Applied Economics, 2018, 50 (38), pp.4153-4181. ⟨10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517⟩. ⟨hal-02506028⟩
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