<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<TEI xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:hal="http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/" xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/" xmlns:gmlce="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/ce" version="1.1" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0 http://api.archives-ouvertes.fr/documents/aofr-sword.xsd">
  <teiHeader>
    <fileDesc>
      <titleStmt>
        <title>HAL TEI export of hal-01971487</title>
      </titleStmt>
      <publicationStmt>
        <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
        <availability status="restricted">
          <licence target="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/">CC0 1.0 - Universal</licence>
        </availability>
        <date when="2026-05-09T17:54:35+02:00"/>
      </publicationStmt>
      <sourceDesc>
        <p part="N">HAL API Platform</p>
      </sourceDesc>
    </fileDesc>
  </teiHeader>
  <text>
    <body>
      <listBibl>
        <biblFull>
          <titleStmt>
            <title xml:lang="en">Pari-mutuel probabilities as an uncertainty model</title>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Ignacio</forename>
                <surname>Montes</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">68d5d9df889dff8a648b8d93452dac6a</email>
              <email type="domain">hds.utc.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">974631</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">980918-974631</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6534-1613</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-220178"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Enrique</forename>
                <surname>Miranda</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">769e3ba2620e1b8f373ff7add8fb2b09</email>
              <email type="domain">uniovi.es</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">916833</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">606269-916833</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-178165"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Sébastien</forename>
                <surname>Destercke</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">ed09d61eab2c231ca68f8971db8b4b72</email>
              <email type="domain">hds.utc.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="string">seb-destercke</idno>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">5026</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">24039-5026</idno>
              <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/E-5124-2011</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2026-468X</idno>
              <idno type="GOOGLE SCHOLAR">https://scholar.google.fr/citations?user=5TR9smoAAAAJ&amp;hl=fr</idno>
              <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/133060705</idno>
              <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/http://www.researcherid.com/rid/E-5124-2011</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-244047"/>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-389870"/>
            </author>
            <editor role="depositor">
              <persName>
                <forename>Sébastien</forename>
                <surname>Destercke</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">41608eced4294be13b2d4638bceee31d</email>
              <email type="domain">cnrs.fr</email>
            </editor>
            <funder ref="#projanr-49749"/>
            <funder ref="#projanr-26414"/>
          </titleStmt>
          <editionStmt>
            <edition n="v1" type="current">
              <date type="whenSubmitted">2019-01-07 10:20:06</date>
              <date type="whenModified">2025-06-24 10:16:03</date>
              <date type="whenReleased">2019-01-15 14:29:36</date>
              <date type="whenProduced">2019-01</date>
              <date type="whenEndEmbargoed">2019-01-07</date>
              <ref type="file" target="https://hal.science/hal-01971487v1/document">
                <date notBefore="2019-01-07"/>
              </ref>
              <ref type="file" subtype="author" n="1" target="https://hal.science/hal-01971487v1/file/PMM.pdf" id="file-1971487-1994658">
                <date notBefore="2019-01-07"/>
              </ref>
              <ref type="externalLink" target="https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01971487/file/PMM.pdf"/>
            </edition>
            <respStmt>
              <resp>contributor</resp>
              <name key="137436">
                <persName>
                  <forename>Sébastien</forename>
                  <surname>Destercke</surname>
                </persName>
                <email type="md5">41608eced4294be13b2d4638bceee31d</email>
                <email type="domain">cnrs.fr</email>
              </name>
            </respStmt>
          </editionStmt>
          <publicationStmt>
            <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
            <idno type="halId">hal-01971487</idno>
            <idno type="halUri">https://hal.science/hal-01971487</idno>
            <idno type="halBibtex">montes:hal-01971487</idno>
            <idno type="halRefHtml">&lt;i&gt;Information Sciences&lt;/i&gt;, 2019, 481, pp.550-573. &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2019.01.005"&gt;&amp;#x27E8;10.1016/j.ins.2019.01.005&amp;#x27E9;&lt;/a&gt;</idno>
            <idno type="halRef">Information Sciences, 2019, 481, pp.550-573. &amp;#x27E8;10.1016/j.ins.2019.01.005&amp;#x27E9;</idno>
            <availability status="restricted">
              <licence target="https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/">HAL Authorization<ref corresp="#file-1971487-1994658"/></licence>
            </availability>
          </publicationStmt>
          <seriesStmt>
            <idno type="stamp" n="CNRS">CNRS - Centre national de la recherche scientifique</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-COMPIEGNE">Université de Technologie de Compiègne</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="HEUDIASYC" corresp="UNIV-COMPIEGNE">Laboratoire HEUDIASYC - Heuristique et Diagnostic des Systèmes Complexes</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="MS2T" corresp="UNIV-COMPIEGNE">Laboratoire d'Excellence MS2T - Maîtrise des Systèmes de Systèmes Technologiques</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="HDS_CID" corresp="HEUDIASYC">Connaissances, Incertitudes et Données </idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="ANR">ANR</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="ALLIANCE-SU"> Alliance Sorbonne Université</idno>
          </seriesStmt>
          <notesStmt>
            <note type="audience" n="2">International</note>
            <note type="popular" n="0">No</note>
            <note type="peer" n="1">Yes</note>
          </notesStmt>
          <sourceDesc>
            <biblStruct>
              <analytic>
                <title xml:lang="en">Pari-mutuel probabilities as an uncertainty model</title>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Ignacio</forename>
                    <surname>Montes</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">68d5d9df889dff8a648b8d93452dac6a</email>
                  <email type="domain">hds.utc.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">974631</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">980918-974631</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6534-1613</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-220178"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Enrique</forename>
                    <surname>Miranda</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">769e3ba2620e1b8f373ff7add8fb2b09</email>
                  <email type="domain">uniovi.es</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">916833</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">606269-916833</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-178165"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Sébastien</forename>
                    <surname>Destercke</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">ed09d61eab2c231ca68f8971db8b4b72</email>
                  <email type="domain">hds.utc.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="string">seb-destercke</idno>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">5026</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">24039-5026</idno>
                  <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/E-5124-2011</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2026-468X</idno>
                  <idno type="GOOGLE SCHOLAR">https://scholar.google.fr/citations?user=5TR9smoAAAAJ&amp;hl=fr</idno>
                  <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/133060705</idno>
                  <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/http://www.researcherid.com/rid/E-5124-2011</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-244047"/>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-389870"/>
                </author>
              </analytic>
              <monogr>
                <idno type="localRef">5</idno>
                <idno type="halJournalId" status="VALID">14189</idno>
                <idno type="issn">0020-0255</idno>
                <title level="j">Information Sciences</title>
                <imprint>
                  <publisher>Elsevier</publisher>
                  <biblScope unit="volume">481</biblScope>
                  <biblScope unit="pp">550-573</biblScope>
                  <date type="datePub">2019-01</date>
                </imprint>
              </monogr>
              <idno type="doi">10.1016/j.ins.2019.01.005</idno>
            </biblStruct>
          </sourceDesc>
          <profileDesc>
            <langUsage>
              <language ident="en">English</language>
            </langUsage>
            <textClass>
              <keywords scheme="author">
                <term xml:lang="en">information fusion</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">belief func-tions</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">Pari-mutuel bets</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">credal sets</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">probability intervals</term>
              </keywords>
              <classCode scheme="halDomain" n="info.info-ai">Computer Science [cs]/Artificial Intelligence [cs.AI]</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halDomain" n="math.math-pr">Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR]</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTypology" n="ART">Journal articles</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halOldTypology" n="ART">Journal articles</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTreeTypology" n="ART">Journal articles</classCode>
            </textClass>
            <abstract xml:lang="en">
              <p>The pari-mutuel model is a betting scheme that has its origins in horse racing, and that has been applied in a number of contexts, mostly economics. In this paper, we consider the set of probability measures compatible with a pari-mutuel model, characterize its extreme points, and investigate the properties of the associated lower and upper probabilities. We show that the pari-mutuel model can be embedded within the theory of probability intervals, and prove necessary and sucient conditions for it to be a belief function or a minitive measure. In addition, we also investigate the combination of dierent pari-mutuel models and their denition on product spaces.</p>
            </abstract>
          </profileDesc>
        </biblFull>
      </listBibl>
    </body>
    <back>
      <listOrg type="structures">
        <org type="institution" xml:id="struct-220178" status="VALID">
          <orgName>Universidad de Oviedo = University of Oviedo</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>Calle San Francisco, 1, 33003 Oviedo, Asturias</addrLine>
              <country key="ES"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.uniovi.es/</ref>
          </desc>
        </org>
        <org type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-178165" status="INCOMING">
          <orgName>Departomento de Estadistica</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <country key="ES"/>
            </address>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>
            <relation active="#struct-220178" type="direct"/>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
        <org type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-244047" status="VALID">
          <orgName>Laboratoire d'Excellence "Maîtrise des Systèmes de Systèmes Technologiques"</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">Labex MS2T</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>Université de Technologie de Compiègne - Centre de Recherche de Royallieu - rue du Docteur Schweitzer- CS 60319 - 60203 COMPIEGNE Cedex</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://www.utc.fr/labexms2t</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>
            <relation active="#struct-93027" type="direct"/>
            <relation active="#struct-441569" type="direct"/>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
        <org type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-389870" status="VALID">
          <idno type="IdRef">110410807</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000 0004 0452 2471</idno>
          <idno type="RNSR">201220263C</idno>
          <idno type="ROR">https://ror.org/0075hvk77</idno>
          <orgName>Heuristique et Diagnostic des Systèmes Complexes [Compiègne]</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">Heudiasyc</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>UTC, CS 60319 - 57 avenue de Landshut - 60203 Compiègne cedex</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">https://www.hds.utc.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>
            <relation active="#struct-93027" type="direct"/>
            <relation name="UMR7253" active="#struct-441569" type="direct"/>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
        <org type="institution" xml:id="struct-93027" status="VALID">
          <idno type="ROR">https://ror.org/04y5kwa70</idno>
          <orgName>Université de Technologie de Compiègne</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">UTC</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>Université de Technologie de Compiègne - rue du Docteur Schweitzer- CS 60319 - 60203 Compiègne Cedex</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">https://www.utc.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
        </org>
        <org type="regroupinstitution" xml:id="struct-441569" status="VALID">
          <idno type="IdRef">02636817X</idno>
          <idno type="ISNI">0000000122597504</idno>
          <idno type="ROR">https://ror.org/02feahw73</idno>
          <orgName>Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">CNRS</orgName>
          <date type="start">1939-10-19</date>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">https://www.cnrs.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
        </org>
      </listOrg>
      <listOrg type="projects">
        <org type="anrProject" xml:id="projanr-49749" status="VALID">
          <idno type="anr">ANR-10-LABX-0071</idno>
          <orgName>MS2T</orgName>
          <desc>Control of Technological Systems of Systems</desc>
          <date type="start">2010</date>
        </org>
        <org type="anrProject" xml:id="projanr-26414" status="VALID">
          <idno type="anr">ANR-11-IDEX-0004</idno>
          <orgName>SUPER</orgName>
          <desc>Sorbonne Universités à Paris pour l'Enseignement et la Recherche</desc>
          <date type="start">2011</date>
        </org>
      </listOrg>
    </back>
  </text>
</TEI>