Introducing Individual Travellers in Future Mobility Scenarios - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Conference Papers Year : 2017

Introducing Individual Travellers in Future Mobility Scenarios


The main purpose of future studies in urban mobility is to raise stakeholder awareness for new tendencies and developments in the coming years, looking towards 2030 up to 2050. Most of these studies are not pretending to predict the future of mobility systems but to develop possible scenarios for future developments. A wide array of literature on the future of urban mobility is available, it ranges from scientific articles to consulting papers and technical studies or reports across multiple domains. Anticipatory (or normative) scenarios are especially worth of interest for industrial actors for highlighting visions of mobility, whether optimistic (utopian), pessimistic (dystopian) or neutral. Yet, most future mobility scenarios tend to consider the travelers of tomorrow as part of a rather homogeneous group. According to sociological evolutions of urban mobility, some parts of the population will have a great number of advantages, while others will have difficulties and accessibility problems. After selecting three representative scenarios in the literature (utopian, dystopian and dystopia avoidance), our goal is to revisit the scenarios by developing the narratives of mobility behaviors of future travelers. We propose to view the various scenarios from the personal perspective of the individuals affected by the changes of the urban mobility system. The contribution is twofold: (1) a methodical approach to intersect existing anticipatory scenarios, trends in social developments and projected mobility profiles; (2) an illustration of three anticipatory scenarios enriched by the expected behavior of different traveler groups.


No file

Dates and versions

hal-01672936 , version 1 (27-12-2017)


  • HAL Id : hal-01672936 , version 1


Flore Vallet, Jakob Puchinger, Alexandra Millonig. Introducing Individual Travellers in Future Mobility Scenarios. Mobile Utopia Conference, T2M - International Association for the History of Transport, Traffic and Mobility, Nov 2017, Lancaster, United Kingdom. ⟨hal-01672936⟩
169 View
0 Download


Gmail Facebook Twitter LinkedIn More