Assessment of the lognormality assumption of seismic fragility curves using non-parametric representations
Résumé
Fragility curves are commonly used in civil engineering to estimate
the vulnerability of structures to earthquakes. The probability of failure
associated with a prescribed criterion (e.g. the maximal interstorey
drift ratio exceeding a prescribed threshold) is represented as a
function of the intensity of the earthquake ground motion (e.g. peak
ground acceleration or spectral acceleration). The classical approach
consists in assuming a lognormal shape of the fragility curves. In this
paper, we introduce two non-parametric approaches to establish the
fragility curves without making any assumption, namely the binned
Monte Carlo simulation approach and kernel density estimation. As
an illustration, we compute the fragility curves of a 3-storey steel
structure, accounting for the nonlinear behavior of the system. The
curves obtained with the proposed approaches are compared with each
other and with those obtained using the classical lognormal assumption.
It is shown that the lognormal curves differ significantly from
their non-parametric counterparts
Origine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
---|
Loading...