Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions
Pete Smith
(1)
,
Steven J. Davis
(2)
,
Felix Creutzig
(3, 4)
,
Sabine Fuss
(3)
,
Jan Minx
(5, 6, 3)
,
Benoit Gabrielle
(7)
,
Etsushi Kato
(8)
,
Robert B. Jackson
(9)
,
Annette Cowie
(10)
,
Elmar Kriegler
(5)
,
Detlef P. van Vuuren
(11, 12)
,
Joeri Rogelj
(13, 14)
,
Philippe Ciais
(15, 16)
,
Jennifer Milne
(17)
,
Josep G. Canadell
(18)
,
David Mccollum
(13)
,
Glen Peters
(19)
,
Robbie Andrew
(19)
,
Volker Krey
(13)
,
Gyami Shrestha
(20)
,
Pierre Friedlingstein
(21)
,
Thomas Gasser
(15, 22)
,
Arnulf Grübler
(13)
,
Wolfgang K. Heidug
(23)
,
Matthias Jonas
(13)
,
Chris D. Jones
(24)
,
Florian Kraxner
(13)
,
Emma Littleton
(25)
,
Jason Lowe
(24)
,
José Roberto Moreira
(26)
,
Nebojsa Nakicenovic
(13)
,
Michael Obersteiner
(13)
,
Anand Patwardhan
(27)
,
Mathis Rogner
(13)
,
Ed Rubin
(28)
,
Ayyoob Sharifi
(29)
,
Asbjørn Torvanger
(19)
,
Yoshiki Yamagata
(30)
,
Jae Edmonds
(31)
,
Cho Yongsung
(32)
1
University of Aberdeen
2 UC Irvine - University of California [Irvine]
3 MCC - Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change
4 TUB - Technical University of Berlin / Technische Universität Berlin
5 PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
6 Hertie School of Governance
7 ECOSYS - Ecologie fonctionnelle et écotoxicologie des agroécosystèmes
8 IAE - Institute of Applied Energy
9 ESS - Department of Earth System Science [Stanford]
10 UNE - University of New England
11 Universiteit Utrecht / Utrecht University [Utrecht]
12 PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
13 IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg]
14 ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich]
15 LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette]
16 ICOS-ATC - ICOS-ATC
17 Stanford University
18 Oceans and Atmosphere Research
19 CICERO - Center for International Climate and Environmental Research [Oslo]
20 US Global Change Research Program
21 University of Exeter
22 CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement
23 King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
24 MOHC - Met Office Hadley Centre
25 UEA - University of East Anglia [Norwich]
26 USP - Universidade de São Paulo = University of São Paulo
27 University of Maryland [College Park]
28 CMU - Carnegie Mellon University [Pittsburgh]
29 Global Carbon Project — Tsukuba International Office
30 NIES - National Institute for Environmental Studies
31 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Joint Global Change Research Institute
32 Korea University [Seoul]
2 UC Irvine - University of California [Irvine]
3 MCC - Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change
4 TUB - Technical University of Berlin / Technische Universität Berlin
5 PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
6 Hertie School of Governance
7 ECOSYS - Ecologie fonctionnelle et écotoxicologie des agroécosystèmes
8 IAE - Institute of Applied Energy
9 ESS - Department of Earth System Science [Stanford]
10 UNE - University of New England
11 Universiteit Utrecht / Utrecht University [Utrecht]
12 PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
13 IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg]
14 ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich]
15 LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette]
16 ICOS-ATC - ICOS-ATC
17 Stanford University
18 Oceans and Atmosphere Research
19 CICERO - Center for International Climate and Environmental Research [Oslo]
20 US Global Change Research Program
21 University of Exeter
22 CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement
23 King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
24 MOHC - Met Office Hadley Centre
25 UEA - University of East Anglia [Norwich]
26 USP - Universidade de São Paulo = University of São Paulo
27 University of Maryland [College Park]
28 CMU - Carnegie Mellon University [Pittsburgh]
29 Global Carbon Project — Tsukuba International Office
30 NIES - National Institute for Environmental Studies
31 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Joint Global Change Research Institute
32 Korea University [Seoul]
Pete Smith
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 763978
- ORCID : 0000-0002-3784-1124
- IdRef : 153069570
Sabine Fuss
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 769178
- ORCID : 0000-0002-8681-9839
Benoit Gabrielle
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 747903
- IdHAL : benoit-gabrielle
Etsushi Kato
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 776410
- ORCID : 0000-0001-8814-804X
Joeri Rogelj
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 776411
- ORCID : 0000-0003-2056-9061
Philippe Ciais
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 756308
- ORCID : 0000-0001-8560-4943
- IdRef : 092241700
Glen Peters
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 776412
- ORCID : 0000-0001-7889-8568
- IdRef : 138519307
Robbie Andrew
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 791872
- ORCID : 0000-0001-8590-6431
Pierre Friedlingstein
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 750146
- IdHAL : pierre-friedlingstein
- ORCID : 0000-0003-3309-4739
Thomas Gasser
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 761300
- ORCID : 0000-0003-4882-2647
Michael Obersteiner
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 757765
- ORCID : 0000-0002-5705-1787
Ayyoob Sharifi
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 776413
- ORCID : 0000-0002-8983-8613
Résumé
To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals.