Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2014

ACCOUNTING FOR ECONOMIC DRIVERS IN FOREST MODELLING: A SPATIALLY EXPLICIT BIO-ECONOMIC MODEL OF THE FRENCH FOREST SECTOR

Résumé

"Given the importance of anthropogenic determinants in forest ecosystems within Europe, the objective of the FFSM++ model is to link the evidence arising from biological models with socio-economic determinants, where the expected returns of forest investments represent the main drivers. An inventory-based forest dynamic model is hence coupled with a partial equilibrium market module and a micro-based management one in a national level French Forest Sector Model (FFSM++). The objectives of this paper are: (a) to demonstrate the importance of the interactions between climatic drivers and management strategies that such integrated approach is able to capture, with a particular focus on the effects of employing a spatial framework (b) to address the implementation of such linkage between a (non linear programming) market-module and the rest of the model where an object-oriented/agent-based approach is used. In particular an application is proposed for spatialising the forest growth rate and long-term scenarios (until 2100) are run to examine the effects on forest dynamics, and notably the interaction with forest management strategies, of several climate change scenarios"

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hal-01166606 , version 1 (23-06-2015)

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  • HAL Id : hal-01166606 , version 1
  • PRODINRA : 312433

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Antonello Lobianco, Philippe Delacote, Sylvain Caurla, Ahmed Barkaoui. ACCOUNTING FOR ECONOMIC DRIVERS IN FOREST MODELLING: A SPATIALLY EXPLICIT BIO-ECONOMIC MODEL OF THE FRENCH FOREST SECTOR. MOSIM 2014, 10ème Conférence Francophone de Modélisation, Optimisation et Simulation, Université de Lorraine (UL). FRA., Nov 2014, Nancy, France. ⟨hal-01166606⟩
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