Solar irradiation forecasting: state-of-the-art and proposition for future developments for small-scale insular grids - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Conference Papers Year : 2012

Solar irradiation forecasting: state-of-the-art and proposition for future developments for small-scale insular grids

Abstract

Because of the great integration of solar energy on the electrical network solar irradiance forecasting is becoming essential. In fact, this integration can offer a better quality of service if the solar irradiation variation can be predicted with great accuracy.This paper presents an in-depth review of the current methods used to forecast solar irradiation in order to facilitate selection of forecast method according to needs. Our work starts with a presentation of physical models and techniques based on cloud imagery. Next statisticalapproaches are detailed before to discuss about hybrid model. Finally, we give indications for future solar irradiation forecasting approaches dedicated to the management of small-scale insular grids.
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Dates and versions

hal-00918150 , version 1 (03-12-2014)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : hal-00918150 , version 1

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Hadja Maïmouna Diagne, Philippe Lauret, Mathieu David. Solar irradiation forecasting: state-of-the-art and proposition for future developments for small-scale insular grids. WREF 2012 - World Renewable Energy Forum, May 2012, Denver, United States. ⟨hal-00918150⟩
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