Risk in Transport Investments - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Networks and Spatial Economics Année : 2012

Risk in Transport Investments

Résumé

We discuss how the standard Cost-Benefit Analysis should be modified in order to take risk (and uncertainty) into account. We propose different approaches used in finance (Value at Risk, Conditional Value at Risk, Downside Risk Measures, and Efficiency Ratio) as useful tools to model the impact of risk in project evaluation. After introducing the concepts, we show how they could be used in CBA and provide some simple examples to illustrate how such concepts can be applied to evaluate the desirability of a new project infrastructure.

Dates et versions

hal-00719698 , version 1 (20-07-2012)

Identifiants

Citer

André de Palma, Nathalie Picard, Laetitia Andrieu. Risk in Transport Investments. Networks and Spatial Economics, 2012, 12 (2), pp.187-204. ⟨10.1007/s11067-009-9109-8⟩. ⟨hal-00719698⟩
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