Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997) - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Applied Economics Année : 2002

Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997)

Louis de Mesnard

Résumé

The method of forecast output coincidence used to determine if sectors are demand-sided or supply-sided in an input-output framework mixes two effects, the structural effect (choosing between demand and supply side models) and the effect of an exogenous factor (final demand or added-value). The note recalls that another method is possible, the comparison of the stability of technical and allocation coefficients, generalized by the biproportional filter: if for a sector, after biproportional filtering, column coefficients are more stable than row coefficients, then this sector is declared as not supply-sided (but one cannot decide that it is demand-sided anyway), and conversely.
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Dates et versions

hal-00383929 , version 1 (13-05-2009)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00383929 , version 1

Citer

Louis de Mesnard. Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997). Applied Economics, 2002, 34 (16), pp.2085-2091. ⟨hal-00383929⟩
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