What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic - Archive ouverte HAL
Preprints, Working Papers, ... Year : 2007

What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic

Abstract

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel cointegration techniques developed by Pedroni (1999, 2004), generalized by Banerjee and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2006) and Westerlund and Edgerton (2007), to a structural long-run equation between general government expenditures and revenues. While sustainability may be lacking in individual cases, fiscal policy was overall sustainable both for the EU15 panel set, and within some sub-periods.
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Dates and versions

hal-00322091 , version 1 (16-09-2008)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : hal-00322091 , version 1

Cite

António Afonso, Christophe Rault. What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic. 2007. ⟨hal-00322091⟩
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