Impact of Climate Change on the Future Chemical Composition of the Global Troposphere - Archive ouverte HAL
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of Climate Année : 2006

Impact of Climate Change on the Future Chemical Composition of the Global Troposphere

Résumé

A global chemical transport model of the atmosphere [the Model for Ozone and Related Tracers, version 2 (MOZART-2)] driven by prescribed surface emissions and by meteorological fields provided by the ECHAM5/Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM-1) coupled atmosphere–ocean model is used to assess how expected climate changes (2100 versus 2000 periods) should affect the chemical composition of the troposphere. Calculations suggest that ozone changes resulting from climate change only are negative in a large fraction of the troposphere because of enhanced photochemical destruction by water vapor. In the Tropics, increased lightning activity should lead to larger ozone concentrations. The magnitude of the climate-induced ozone changes in the troposphere remains smaller than the changes produced by enhanced anthropogenic emissions when the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2P is adopted to describe the future evolution of these emissions. Predictions depend strongly on future trends in atmospheric methane levels, which are not well established. Changes in the emissions of NOx by bacteria in soils and of nonmethane hydrocarbons by vegetation associated with climate change could have a significant impact on future ozone levels.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
jcli3832.1.pdf (2.52 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-00095625 , version 1 (02-05-2019)

Identifiants

Citer

Guy Brasseur, Martin Schultz, Claire Granier, Marielle Saunois, Thomas Diehl, et al.. Impact of Climate Change on the Future Chemical Composition of the Global Troposphere. Journal of Climate, 2006, 19 (16), pp.3932-3951. ⟨10.1175/JCLI3832.1⟩. ⟨hal-00095625⟩
105 Consultations
103 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More