Financial instability and economic cycles: A model of banking crisis
Résumé
After the recent cross-border financial crisis, this paper aims to develop a new framework in order to portray the dynamics of current banking systems. In a dynamic model, international banks adopt different strategies of risk according to the economic cycle phases. It describes a mechanism by which even cautious entities are urged on adopting risky behaviors to remain competitive and attract capital. Such a new framework based on an uncommon (positive) approach is completed by simulations demonstrating that this process inexorably leads to a banking liquidity crisis, hence the importance of banking regulations for financial stability.