Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2025

Ratio limit theorem for renewal processes

Résumé

We consider a renewal process which models a cumulative shock model that fails when the accumulation of shocks up-crosses a certain threshold. The ratio limit properties of the probabilities of non-failure after n cumulative shocks are studied. We establish that the ratio of survival probabilities converges to the probability that the renewal epoch equals zero. This limit holds for any renewal process, subject only to mild regularity conditions on the individual shock random variable. Precisions on the rates of convergence are provided depending on the support structure and the regularity of the distribution. Arguments are provided to highlight the coherence between this new results and the pre-existing results on the behavior of summands of i.i.d. real random variables.

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Dates et versions

hal-05411699 , version 1 (12-12-2025)

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Mikael Escobar-Bach, Alexandre Popier, Malo Sahin. Ratio limit theorem for renewal processes. 2025. ⟨hal-05411699⟩
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